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September 2014 |
Archives |
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014, 10:06 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Citi Boosts GoPro Target |
Citi lifts its GoPro (GPRO, $91.77) price target to $94 from $70 following the HERO4 announcement. The firm estimates that nearly half of the high-end GoPro buyers will move up to the HERO4 Black and expects this to more than offset the pricing pressure from the lower volume entry-level HERO. The firm maintains a ‘Neutral’ rating.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014, 9:07 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Wedbush Ups Alibaba Target to $105 |
Wedbush raises its Alibaba (BABA, $88.75) price target to $105 from $80, saying the post-IPO stability in the shares has removed short-term risks associated with the massive offering.
The firm believes Alibaba offers a compelling combination of size, growth and profitability.
Wedbush expects Alibaba to continue to see revenue and profit growth of 30%+ over the next few years thanks to strong growth in consumer spending in China.
Wedbush’s price target is based on a P/E of 34 applied to its fiscal 2016 (March) EPS estimate.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Apple Set to Launch iPhone 6 in China |
Apple (AAPL, $100.11) has won approval to begin selling the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus in China on October 17 for use on networks from China Mobile, China Telecom and China Unicom. Pre-orders begin on October 10.
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Monday, September 29, 2014, 4:21 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Traders Bid Up New Momentum Favorites |
The four tech momentum names (of the moment) had a big day:
*GoPro (GPRO, $90.94) +10.7% *Arista Networks (ANET, $93.31) +9.6% *MobileEye (MBLY, $54.75) +7.6% *Ambarella (AMBA, $44.45) +6.3%
But some recent momentum favorites didn’t do so well:
*Zillow (Z, $119.33) -2.0% *Yelp (YELP, $69.54) -1.9% *FireEye (FEYE, $31.45) -1.6% *TripAdvisor (TRIP, $90.80) -1.4% *Tesla (TSLA, $245.26) -0.5%
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Monday, September 29, 2014, 12:05 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
GoPro +7%, Hits New All-Time High |
GoPro (GPRO, $88) shares today are up more than 7% and earlier reached a new all-time high at $89.34. The company went public in late June at $24 a share.
The market cap now stands at $11.1 billion, 7.2x the 2015 consensus revenue estimate of $1.53 billion.
Piper Jaffray raises its GoPro price target to $90 from $60 following the announcement of the HERO4 camera.
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Monday, September 29, 2014, 11:20 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
More M&A in Enterprise Software? |
FBR Capital says today’s Tibco Software (TIBX, $23.55) buyout news (along with the recent SAP-for-CNQR transaction) shows M&A momentum in the enterprise software space is picking up steam.
The firm believes the sector is poised for more consolidation, with large vendors (including SAP, Salesforce, IBM, EMC, Oracle and Microsoft) continuing to seek out growth via acquisitions.
Mizuho Securities sees the Tibco buyout valuation as generous because the company has been suffering from ongoing execution challenges. The firm believes this deal implies upside for Citrix Systems (CTXS, $71.37), CommVault Systems (CVLT, $49.68), Informatica (INFA, $33.05) and Red Hat (RHT, $55.60), as many of these vendors are executing better and have a more attractive product set.
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Monday, September 29, 2014, 9:22 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Tibco Software Going Private at $24/Share |
Tibco Software (TIBX, $19.51) has agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Vista Equity Partners at $24 a share in cash in a deal worth $4.3 billion (including assumed net debt).
Tibco shares in early August jumped on a report that the company had been shopping itself around (see TechStock Radar--August 6, 2014).
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Monday, September 29, 2014, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
GoPro Unveils New Cameras |
GoPro (GPRO, $82.10) today introduces its HERO4 camera in two versions: HERO4 Black priced at $499 and HERO4 Silver at $399. The new line will be available for sale on October 5.
The new Black features 2x the performance of the previous Black Edition and now captures 4K video at 30 frames per second, 2.7K video at 50fps and 1080p video at 120fps. The Silver features a built-in touch display.
The new entry-level HERO is priced at $129.
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Friday, September 26, 2014, 4:10 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Chart Watch: Apple |
Apple (AAPL, $100.75) shares yesterday finished below the 50-day moving average at $98.75.
However, today’s 2.9% rebound brought the stock back above the widely watched indicator on a closing basis.
Apple shares remain well above the 200-day moving average at $85.37.
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Friday, September 26, 2014, 11:09 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Chart Watch: NetSuite |
Shares of NetSuite (N, $88.44) have held up relatively well during the latest market turbulence, remaining above the 50-day moving average (MAV) at $85.04.
The stock over the past several weeks has been trading in a fairly tight range, bounded by the 50-day MAV on the downside and the 200-day moving average at $90.97 on the upside.
For more on NetSuite, see TechStock Radar--September 16, 2014.
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Friday, September 26, 2014, 10:08 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Cowen Upgrades LinkedIn |
Cowen upgrades LinkedIn (LNKD, $214.87) to ‘Outperform’ and raises its price target to $253 from $195 based on growth potential for the recently launched Sales Navigator offering. The firm believes this latest solution is the next significant positive catalyst for the stock.
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Friday, September 26, 2014, 9:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Cantor: Apple Drop Overdone |
Cantor believes the latest decline in Apple (AAPL, $97.87) shares related to concerns about the iPhone 6 Plus being bendable has been overdone.
This looks like a short-term issue that's simply getting a lot of media attention.
The firm sees the pullback in Apple shares as a buying opportunity and maintains its price target of $123.
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Thursday, September 25, 2014, 4:43 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Zendesk Shows Relative Strength |
Shares of Zendesk (ZEN, $21.77), provider of a cloud-based customer service platform, today managed to fend off sellers, closing with a small gain.
The stock has pulled back 22% from its September 2 high of $28.05 though.
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Thursday, September 25, 2014, 11:07 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Zillow Weakening, Down 26% from July High |
Shares of Zillow (Z, $120.74) have fallen below near-term support after failing at the 50-day moving average. Next key support stands at the 200-day moving average at $108.31. The RSI is declining from 31.7.
The stock is now down 26.7% from its July 28 high of $164.90.
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Thursday, September 25, 2014, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
New Competition for GoPro |
HTC is ready to debut its RECamera, a new competitor for GoPro (GPRO, $78.46). The portable device, which looks like a tiny periscope, is expected to be unveiled at an event in NYC on October 8.
Yesterday, GoPro shares jumped more than 7% and hit a new all-time high of $78.84. The market cap is nearing $10 billion. GoPro is expected to soon release its latest camera.
In Q2, GoPro’s revenue rose 38% to $244.6 million.
GoPro went public in late June at $24 and opened for trading at $28.65.
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Wednesday, September 24, 2014, 3:31 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Buyers Rush into Security Names |
Today’s successful IPO from CyberArk (CYBR, $27.03) is getting more traders interested in the whole security sector.
Here are some of the session’s big winners:
*Varonis Systems (VRNS, $22.89) +7.2% *Proofpoint (PFPT, $38.66) +6.1% *Qualys (QLYS, $25.88) +3.2% *Barracuda Networks (CUDA, $25.37) +2.8% *Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $99.47) +2.1%
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Wednesday, September 24, 2014, 11:08 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
CyberArk IPO Opens +56% |
CyberArk (CYBR, $24.25), a provider of cybersecurity solutions, went public this morning at $16 and opened for trading at $25, up 56%.
The company’s security offerings are focused on protecting “privileged accounts” inside the network perimeter, representing an organization’s core IT and industrial control infrastructures.
CyberArk has more than 1,550 customers, including 35% of the Fortune 100 and roughly 15% of the Global 2000.
In 2013, revenue rose 40% to $66.15 million. For the six months ended June, revenue was up 32.5% to to $38.7 million.
There are 29.58 million shares outstanding following the offering.
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Wednesday, September 24, 2014, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
SunTrust Bullish on HomeAway |
SunTrust starts HomeAway (AWAY, $33.13) at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $40, saying the company, the leading online vacation rental site, has expanded at a 25% CAGR since 2011.
HomeAway, with roughly 1 million listings and $10 billion to $13 billion in annual bookings, has a global reach, with a top market share in the U.S., countries across Europe and in APAC. SunTrust estimates that HomeAway has a 13% overall share of vacation bookings.
For more on HomeAway, Tech-Stock Prospector subscribers should see the July 2014 issue (TSP #149).
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014, 4:30 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Facebook Hits New All-Time High; Alibaba Falls 3% |
Facebook (FB, $78.29) shares today rose 1.9% and reached a new all-time high at $78.63.
Meanwhile, shares of Alibaba (BABA, $87.17) today fell 3% and hit a new post-IPO low of $86.62.
Alibaba shares are down 12.5% from Friday’s opening-day high of $99.70; they’re off 6% from the IPO opening price of $92.70. The IPO price was $68.
For our latest analysis and updated price target on Facebook, see the September 2014 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector. Order the latest issue here for download to your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014, 1:01 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Chart Watch: TripAdvisor |
Shares of TripAdvisor (TRIP, $92.49) continue to act weak (the RSI is declining from 36.5) and have slipped below the 200-day moving average at $93.19.
The stock had rallied sharply from the late-April low of $75.13, hitting a new 52-week high of $111.24 on June 30.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014, 11:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Morgan Stanley Bullish on Palo Alto Networks |
Morgan Stanley remains bullish on Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $97.77), maintaining its price target of $115. The firm says the networking security vendor has multiple levers in place to drive free cash flow growth: 30% sustainable billings growth, increased sales efficiencies, slowing CapEx and reduced litigation expenses.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014, 10:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Chart Watch: FireEye |
Shares of cybersecurity solutions vendor FireEye (FEYE, $33.58) have found some footing in the low $30s, holding above the 50-day moving average at $32.74. There is short-term resistance at $36.38 and $36.85.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Summit Sees NetApp as Buyout Target |
Summit Research upgrades NetApp (NTAP, $43) to ‘Buy’ with a price target of $55 based on buyout potential. The firm believes sluggish growth at the storage vendor means the company might be forced to to find a buyer now that EMC (EMC) is considering a merger with other large OEMs.
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Monday, September 22, 2014, 3:04 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Tech Momentum Names Take a Hit |
Here’s the performance so far today for some of the tech momentum names:
*Mobileye (MBLY) +2.3% *GoPro (GRPO) +0.7% *Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -1.5%
*Arista Networks (ANET) -2.7% *Splunk (SPLK) -2.9% *Zillow (Z) -3.6%
*TripAdvisor (TRIP) -4.2% *Tesla (TSLA) -4.7% *Yelp (YELP) -5.5%
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Monday, September 22, 2014, 11:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
MKM Partners Positive on Alibaba |
MKM Partners starts Alibaba (BABA, $90.12) at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $125, saying the long-term outlook is positive, making the name a likely core holding for growth managers.
However, the firm cautions that a consolidation over the near term following the IPO pop on Friday could take place at lower levels.
Alibaba shares this morning are off 4%.
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Monday, September 22, 2014, 10:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Bernstein Downgrades Yahoo |
Bernstein downgrades Yahoo (YHOO, $39.85) to ‘Market Perform,’ saying the bullish argument based on the Alibaba (BABA, $91.84) value realization has played out for now. The firm maintains its price target of $42.
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Monday, September 22, 2014, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
EMC Explores its Options |
According to The WSJ, EMC (EMC, $29.53) has held merger discussions with Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and additional deal talks with privately held Dell.
The H-P talks, held on and off for nearly a year, recently broke down because of disagreement over financial terms and concerns about shareholders of both companies potentially rejecting the deal (a merger of equals), says the report. The paper’s source says the talks probably won’t be revived.
As for Dell, the company might be interested in certain pieces of EMC, which is exploring its options given that it’s facing activist investor pressure related to the VMware (VMW) unit as well as the imminent retirement (expected early next year) of CEO Joe Tucci.
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Monday, September 22, 2014, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
iPhone 6 Opening Weekend Sales a Record |
Opening weekend sales for the Apple (AAPL, $100.96) iPhone 6/6 Plus topped 10 million units, a new record. Given that China was not included in this launch period, these are very impressive numbers.
CEO Tim Cook says: “We could have sold many more iPhones with greater supply and we are working hard to fill orders as quickly as possible.”
Launched initially in 10 markets, the new phones will be available in 20+ additional countries on September 26.
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Friday, September 19, 2014, 12:10 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
TSP Action Alert |
Tech-Stock Prospector subscribers should see today's Action Alert on Yahoo (YHOO) in the Vulture Portfolio.
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Friday, September 19, 2014, 10:12 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Piper Jaffray Lifts FireEye Target |
Piper Jaffray raises its FireEye (FEYE, $34.50) price target to $40 from $36, saying continuous innovation coming out of the company should drive revenue growth and market share gains.
This week, FireEye announced two new solutions:
*FireEye as a Service--an on-demand security management offering
*FireEye Advanced Threat Intelligence--provides access to threat data and analytical tools that help identify attacks and provide context about the tactics and motives on specific threat actors
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Friday, September 19, 2014, 9:05 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Cowen Ups Apple Target to $110 |
Cowen increases its Apple (AAPL, $101.79) price target to $110 from $106 based on potential upside to its iPhone 6/6 Plus unit forecast.
The firm says a recent survey of 4,500 adults in the U.S. and China revealed better than expected demand dynamics and drivers for the new handsets.
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Thursday, September 18, 2014, 4:37 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Ellison Steps Aside as Oracle CEO |
Larry Ellison steps down as CEO of Oracle (ORCL, $41.55), the company he founded in 1977. He will be chairman and CTO.
Mark Hurd and Safra Catz, who have been co-president since 2010, will now share the top spot.
With all software and hardware engineering functions continuing to report to Ellison, this is not really an exit though.
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Thursday, September 18, 2014, 12:05 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Akamai Hits New 52-Week High |
Shares of Akamai Technologies (AKAM, $63.74) have broken out to the upside, hitting a new 52-week high at $63.75. The RSI is on the rise from 68.6.
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Thursday, September 18, 2014, 11:31 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Alibaba IPO On Deck |
According to CNBC, Alibaba (BABA) tonight will price the IPO within the $66 to $68 range.
The WSJ says demand for the IPO appears strong, but cautions that a group of early investors will be able to unload more than $8 billion worth of unrestricted shares (not subject to a lockup) in the offering.
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Thursday, September 18, 2014, 9:25 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
OpCo Still Positive on Nimble Storage |
OpCo is positive on Nimble Storage (NMBL, $26.69), saying it is encouraged by the preparation for the Fibre Channel (FC) launch in fiscal Q4 (Jan.).
The firm views FQ3 (Oct.) as a solid building quarter for the company, which offers a flash-optimized hybrid storage platform and cloud-based management system.
For fiscal 2016, OpCo sees room for top-line upside as FC gets fully rolled out.
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Wednesday, September 17, 2014, 5:06 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Chart Watch: Salesforce |
Shares of Salesforce (CRM, $57.45) have come off their recent high of $61.44, but so far have been able to hold support at the 200-day moving average at $56.28.
While the stock rebounded nicely off of the April 29 low of $48.18, it remains well below the 52-week high of $67 from late February.
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Wednesday, September 17, 2014, 11:38 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Veeva Consolidates Recent Gains |
Shares of Veeva Systems (VEEV, $29.25)--a provider of cloud-based CRM and content/data management solutions aimed at the life sciences vertical--are taking a break following the 46% rally off of the August 20 low of $21.57.
Veeva shares last Friday hit an intraday high of $31.68.
The company this afternoon hosts its first analyst day; presentations start at 1 PM ET.
For more on Veeva’s long-term growth outlook, see our profile in the September 2014 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector. Order the latest issue here for download to your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
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Wednesday, September 17, 2014, 10:34 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
FireEye Rallies Ahead of New Offerings |
Shares of cybersecurity solutions vendor FireEye (FEYE, $35.19) this morning are up more than 4% ahead of the release of new subscription services and threat intelligence offerings, which are to be announced later today.
The company tomorrow afternoon is hosting a webinar for investors to discuss the new offerings, which are designed to unify the products, services and threat intelligence of the FireEye/Mandiant combination.
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Wednesday, September 17, 2014, 9:06 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
RBC Capital Lifts Apple Target to $114 |
RBC Capital raises its Apple (AAPL, $100.86) price target to $114 from $110 following a recent survey of 6,000 consumers related to iPhone purchase plans that showed positive indications.
The firm expects the iPhone 6/6 Plus to drive Apple’s handset ASP significantly higher and sees potential for gross margin upside.
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014, 3:26 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Yelp Takes a Break |
Shares of Yelp (YELP, $76.66) yesterday were hit hard in the momentum pullback, falling 6.3%, and today the stock is lagging in the market rebound.
For now though, the shares are holding above the 50-day moving average at $74.68 and the 200-day moving average at $73.63.
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014, 11:11 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
RBC Capital Sees Solid Growth for NetSuite |
RBC Capital starts coverage of cloud-based ERP software provider NetSuite (N, $84.63) at ‘Outperform’ with a price target of $111, saying the company can sustain top-line growth of around 30% for longer than the market expects because of the following reasons:
1-Acceleration in the pace of cloud ERP adoption 2-Weak competitive response from legacy vendors 3-Increased recurring revenue per customer 4-Relatively low penetration (around 5%) in the mid-market
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014, 10:33 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
JMP Positive on Qualys |
JMP Securities is more positive on the long-term growth outlook at Qualys (QLYS, $24.74), a provider of cloud-based enterprise security solutions. The firm says deal sizes are increasing, indicating the company has reached a positive turning point.
Qualys generates the bulk of its revenue from its QualysGuard vulnerability management solution, where it competes mainly against the McAfee division of Intel (INTC) and technology from the ISS unit of IBM (IBM), which in 2010 was merged into the Tivoli brand.
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014, 9:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
RBC Capital Bullish on Ultimate Software |
RBC Capital starts coverage of Ultimate Software (ULTI, $145.53), a provider of cloud-based HCM solutions, at ‘Outperform’ with a price target of $172, saying the company can continue to gain share within a large market opportunity.
While the firm acknowledges the HCM segment is becoming more competitive (new cloud vendors in both the enterprise and low end), it says the market size is large enough to sustain growth for a number of players for some time.
Ultimate’s goal is to hit $1 billion in revenue in 2018. Part of the company’s strategy to get to this goal: expanding its reach at the lower end (organizations with 300 to 500 employees).
For 2014, the consensus revenue estimate of $505.9 million indicates growth of 23.3%.
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Monday, September 15, 2014, 3:34 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Splunk Dips 6% |
Shares of Splunk (SPLK, $55.47) today are off 6% on active volume, taking a needed break from the recent rally.
While the rebound (following the fiscal Q2 earnings report) was quick and powerful (up as much as 35.5% over nine sessions), Splunk shares still failed to make it above the 200-day moving average at $62.29.
The pivot high from September 11 is $61.36.
There’s support at the 50-day moving average at $48.20.
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Monday, September 15, 2014, 11:15 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Chart Watch: Varonis Systems |
Shares of Varonis Systems (VRNS, $23.20), a provider of solutions used to manage and secure unstructured data, have stabilized in the low $20s (recovering from the August dip to a new post-IPO low of $19.21) and are holding just above the 50-day moving average at $22.32.
The company went public in February at $22 a share. The stock opened for trading at $39 and hit a post-IPO high of $56.80 on March 7.
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Monday, September 15, 2014, 10:17 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Pacific Crest Boosts Arista Networks Target |
Pacific Crest ups its price target on Arista Networks (ANET, $85.02), a provider of datacenter switches, to $115 from $85, saying it looks for the company to benefit from the next wave of large cloud datacenters becoming operational later this year and in 2015.
For 2015, Pacific Crest expects revenue growth of at least 33%. The 2015 consensus revenue estimate of $739.8 million indicates growth of 31.4%. The Street-high estimate of $812.7 million represents growth of 44.4%.
Arista Networks went public in June at $43 a share.
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Monday, September 15, 2014, 9:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Apple Reports Strong iPhone 6 Pre-Orders |
Apple (AAPL, $101.66) announces a record number of first day pre-orders for the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus: over 4 million in the first 24 hours.
This is 2 times the number of iPhone 5 pre-orders from 2012. Pre-orders were not offered last year on the 5S.
Demand for the new iPhones exceeds the initial pre-order supply, says Apple. Thus, many pre-orders are scheduled to be delivered next month.
The iPhone officially goes on sale this Friday at 8 AM local time. Apple says additional supply will be available to walk-in customers.
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Friday, September 12, 2014, 4:52 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Mobileye Falls 6% on Competitive Threat |
Shares of Mobileye (MBLY, $50.87) today took a break, falling 6.1% on heavy volume, after a report that Toyota next year would begin to use advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) technology from a competitor.
Mobileye is the leading player in the automotive technology megatrend, with an 80% share of the vision-based driver assistance segment.
The company went public in August at $25 a share. Earlier this week, the stock ran up to a new post-IPO high of $58.61.
For more on Mobileye’s growth outlook, see the September 2014 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector. Order the latest issue for download to your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone.
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Friday, September 12, 2014, 2:21 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
A New 52-Week High for Yahoo |
Ahead of the big Alibaba (BABA) IPO next week, shares of Yahoo (YHOO, $42.88), which owns 22.4% of the Chinese e-commerce company, are up nearly 4% and have hit a new 52-week high at $42.90.
Demand for Alibaba shares from institutional investors is said to be strong.
In the offering, Yahoo is expected to sell roughly 26% of its Alibaba holdings.
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Friday, September 12, 2014, 11:15 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Rocket Fuel Stays Volatile |
Shares of ad-tech specialist Rocket Fuel (FUEL, $15.94) continue to be highly volatile, this morning running up to a high of $17.42 before a sharp pullback into the red.
Yesterday, traders drove the stock up 11.9% on speculation that Rocket Fuel could be an acquisition target based on valuation.
After the close yesterday, Alliance Data Systems (ADS) announced that it’s buying Conversant (CNVR) in a $2.3-billion deal (~31% premium), sparking chatter of more M&A in the ad-tech space.
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Friday, September 12, 2014, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Topeka Ups Palo Alto Networks PT to $120 |
Topeka Capital boosts its Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $100.49) price target to $120 from $100, saying the company’s FQ4 growth acceleration (across various metrics) shows increased enterprise awareness--especially at the BoD level--of significant IT security challenges.
Palo Alto Networks is well positioned because it delivers what the market needs right now in terms of next-gen security solutions on a single platform, says the firm.
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Thursday, September 11, 2014, 4:30 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Tableau Disrupting Enterprise Analytics Market |
Over the
course of about three months, shares of Tableau
Software (DATA, $75.55), a provider of data visualization
analytics solutions, soared 70%, hitting a new all-time high in late February
at $102.37. The
subsequent momentum correction took the stock down to a low of $52.02 in the
middle of May, a quick decline of 49%. The shares are now trading back in the
mid $70s. There
certainly was no pause in the fundamentals to cause the big pullback; the stock
simply had gotten ahead of itself in terms of valuation. *In Q1,
Tableau’s revenue surged 86% to $74.6 million, coming in more than 18% above
the consensus estimate of $63 million. *In Q2,
revenue advanced 82% to $90.7 million, 14% above the consensus of $79.4
million. *For Q3, the
company guided revenue to $90 million-$94 million, vs. the consensus of $87.2
million. *The 2014
consensus revenue estimate of $374.5 million indicates growth of 61%; the
Street-high estimate is $400 million. Tableau has
been working its way into enterprises via a land-and-expand strategy, often
from positive word of mouth (two key drivers: cheaper and easier to use than
traditional business intelligence solutions) that spreads from one department
to the next, helping the company further penetrate existing accounts. In Q2,
the company closed 157 deals worth more than $100,00 each, up 96% from 80 in
the year-ago quarter. In addition,
Tableau is signing up new customers at a blistering rate, adding 1,800+
accounts in the March quarter and more than 2,200 in the June quarter, bringing
its total customer count to more than 21,000. A big
positive development for Tableau: There has been a major shift when it comes to
the involvement of IT departments, which now often lead the push for the
company’s solutions, wanting to move business intelligence to the self-serve
model. According to
Tableau CEO Christian Chabot, IT departments are championing the company’s
style of analytics because they see that its solutions require fewer resources,
aren’t difficult to learn and empower employees by offering clearer results,
making data easier to interpret. Older-generation
tools for business intelligence (from the likes of Cognos and Business Objects)
continue to be held back by their complexity and high costs, with some
customers forced to pay 3x for services over the price of the actual software
to cover training and upkeep. Chabot says
Tableau is seeing big growth from customers who didn’t participate in the last
generation of pricey analytics, as well as from those deciding to switch over
to newer offerings. Tableau’s
growth opportunities include organizations that have only used Excel for
analytics in the past, but there’s also a whole pool of potential customers
(mainly Global 2000 companies) with older-generation solutions that they don’t
even use anymore. According to
Chabot, the $14-billion total addressable market (TAM) for business
intelligence only includes legacy systems; he argues that the actual TAM could
be 3x the size when all greenfield opportunities are taken into consideration. Tableau 9.0,
the company’s next major product release (set for debut sometime next year),
will help drive growth through 2015. Analysts on average are looking for
top-line growth next year of around 35%; the Street-high revenue estimate of $553
million represents growth of nearly 48%.
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Thursday, September 11, 2014, 4:01 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Read Tech-Stock Prospector on Kindle |
Download the September 2014 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector
to your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
Order the latest issue of TSP for Kindle.
Here are some of the topics covered in the September 2014
issue:
*What’s ahead for Facebook
in 2015
*Worldwide smartphone adoption driving mobile messaging
growth
*Our latest growth & valuation analysis on Apple
*Mobileye a
leader in the automotive technology megatrend
*Security Watch: Imperva
names a new CEO as it improves execution
*Fortinet gaining
ground in enterprise security, closing more big deals
*Palo Alto Networks
moving into new growth sectors of IT security
*Nimble Storage expands
its product portfolio to win larger accounts
*Small-Cap Watch: Gigamon
shows early signs of improvement
*Ciena lands a
major infrastructure contract with AT&T
*Cloud Watch: Workday
expands its enterprise ecosystem
*Cloud software gaining traction in HR/human capital
management
*Aruba Networks
sees growth acceleration from WiFi upgrade cycle
*Authentication a key requirement in enterprise wireless
networks
*Big Data Watch: Splunk
rapidly building its customer base
*Why some smart money managers like Veeva Systems now
*Akamai Technologies
on a competitive upswing in content delivery
*YouTube delivers video advertising growth for Google
*Positive metrics in cloud-software sector could drive more
acquisitions
*Deal Report: Cloud-software
vendor Concur Technologies up for
sale?
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Thursday, September 11, 2014, 3:38 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Aruba Networks Hits New 52-Week High |
Shares of Aruba Networks (ARUN, $23.53), a provider of wireless infrastructure solutions, today hit a new 52-week high at $23.74.
Since the end of July, the stock is up more than 31%.
For more on Aruba’s growth story, see the September 2014 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector. Order the latest issue here for download to your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
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Thursday, September 11, 2014, 11:05 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Chart Watch: Tableau |
Shares of Tableau Software (DATA, $74.68), a provider of enterprise BI/data visualization solutions, this morning took out recent resistance at $73.87.
The stock is now starting to push off the 200-day moving average of $69.91. The RSI is rising from 72.3. Next significant resistance is in the low $80s.
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Thursday, September 11, 2014, 10:27 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Palo Alto Networks Pushes Higher |
After gaining 10.6% yesterday, shares of networking security vendor Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $102.01) this morning are up more than 3% on heavy volume and have hit a new all-time high at $102.45.
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Thursday, September 11, 2014, 9:11 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Twitter Taps Debt Market |
Twitter (TWTR, $52.91) is hitting the debt market, selling two sets of convertible notes each worth $650 million.
The company plans to use the proceeds for expansion and potential acquisitions.
Twitter is in rapid growth mode. For 2014, the consensus revenue estimate of $1.36 billion indicates growth of 104.5%. Next year’s consensus of $2.27 billion shows expected growth of 66.8%.
Canaccord Genuity today starts Twitter at ‘Buy’ with a price target of $62.
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Wednesday, September 10, 2014, 11:32 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
JMP Ups Palo Alto Networks Target |
JMP Securities raises its price target on networking security vendor Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $96.05) to $120 from $90 following last night’s strong fiscal Q4 earnings report.
In the July quarter, revenue rose 59% to $178.2 million, beating the consensus estimate of $161.3 million.
For fiscal Q1, Palo Alto guided revenue to $178 million-$182 million, vs. the consensus of $173.9 million.
Palo Alto shares this morning are up more than 7% on heavy volume.
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Wednesday, September 10, 2014, 10:13 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
BMO Capital Bullish on Tableau |
BMO Capital calls Tableau Software (DATA, $70.09) the name to own in the enterprise analytics space. The firm believes the company’s strong growth profile (revenue for 2014 expected to be up 60%) provides upside potential for the shares. BMO maintains its price target of $80.
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Wednesday, September 10, 2014, 9:01 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Goldman Ups Apple Target to $115 |
Goldman Sachs lifts its Apple (AAPL, $97.99) price target to $115 from $107, saying it believes yesterday’s launch delivered a product set that was largely in line with lofty expectations.
The firm calls the introduction of larger-screen iPhones an important driver of improved growth in that segment. The iPhone refresh was by far the most impactful announcement when it comes to Apple’s bottom line, says Goldman.
As for Apple Pay and the Watch, the firm sees them as key platform enhancements and further sources of stickiness for iOS.
Goldman raises its estimates to reflect higher margin assumptions, taking its FY’15 EPS estimate up to $7.67 from $7.57.
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Tuesday, September 9, 2014, 5:38 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Security Names Show Relative Strength |
Shares of Imperva (IMPV, $31.04), a provider of datacenter security solutions, today showed relative strength, gaining 2.2% on active volume.
Three other standouts today in security:
*Barracuda Networks (CUDA, $28.75) +5.3% *FireEye (FEYE, $33.51) +0.8% *Symantec (SYMC, $24.55) +0.8%
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Tuesday, September 9, 2014, 12:43 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Small-Cap Security Watch: Barracuda |
Shares of Barracuda Networks (CUDA, $28.50), a provider of security and storage solutions aimed at the SMB market, are up more than 14% just since the end of August. The RSI is on the rise from 62.1.
The next resistance level is the 50-day moving average at $28.77. The 200-day moving average stands at $30.17.
We first looked at Barracuda in December 2013 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector (see TSP #142) when the stock was trading at just under $23.
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Tuesday, September 9, 2014, 10:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Concur Holding Recent Gains |
Shares of Concur Technologies (CNQR, $108.75), a provider of cloud-based enterprise travel & expense management solutions, are holding up (for now, at least) even though chatter about the company putting itself up for sale has died down.
On the speculation, the stock last week rallied to a high of $110.16, up from around $101.
For more on Concur, see TechStock Radar--Sept 2 & 3, 2014.
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Tuesday, September 9, 2014, 9:06 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
RBC Capital Ups Netflix Target to $600 |
RBC Capital raises its Netflix (NFLX, $479.33) price target to $600 from $530, saying the company has achieved a level of sustainable scale, growth and profitability that is not reflected in the current share price.
The firm is most positive with respect to new European launches, as they represent a 70% increase in Netflix’s international broadband footprint.
Over the long term, RBC Capital believes Netflix can generate 60 million international subs by achieving 20% penetration of broadband households in the 20 largest non-U.S./China broadband markets.
RBC Capital also cites its recent positive surveys of U.S. and U.K. Internet users. In the U.S., the firm’s survey shows that 42% of respondents use Netflix to watch movies and TV shows, second only to YouTube (44%).
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Monday, September 8, 2014, 3:42 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
GoPro +8%, Hits New Post-IPO High |
Shares of GoPro (GPRO, $63.60) today are up 8.2% and have hit a new post-IPO high at $63.72. As recently as August 15, the stock traded below $40.
GoPro, which makes the highly popular wearable video recorder, went public in June at $24 a share; the stock opened for trading at $28.65 and closed the first session at $31.34.
The company sees itself as a social play: GoPro videos published on YouTube in Q2 jumped 160% year over year, with views up 200%. The recently company launched a GoPro Channel on Pinterest and Xbox 360.
In Q2, revenue rose 38% to $244.6 million. The 2014 consensus revenue estimate of $1.24 billion indicates growth of 25%. The market cap stands at $7.8 billion.
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Monday, September 8, 2014, 11:49 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Rackspace Jumps on More Buyout Chatter |
Shares of Rackspace Hosting (RAX, $39.43) today are up nearly 6% on heavy volume following a Bloomberg report that CenturyLink (CTL, $40.68) is looking to acquire the provider of cloud computing services.
For more on the Rackspace story, see TechStock Radar--August 18, 2014 and July 9, 2014.
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Monday, September 8, 2014, 10:08 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Topeka Bullish on Palo Alto Networks |
Topeka Capital expects Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $91.11) tomorrow to report robust fiscal Q4 (July) results, driven by healthy demand for the 7050 high-end appliance and the WildFire security subscription service. The firm maintains its price target of $98.
The FQ4 consensus estimates: EPS of 11 cents on revenue of $161.2 million (the Street-high estimate is $164.2 million).
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Monday, September 8, 2014, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
UBS Upgrades FireEye |
UBS upgrades FireEye (FEYE, $31.72) to ‘Buy’ with a price target of $40 based on strong fundamentals in the security space, the company’s expanded portfolio of offerings and increased distribution leverage.
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Friday, September 5, 2014, 3:22 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
A New High for Microsoft |
Shares of Microsoft (MSFT, $45.87) today hit a new 52-week high at $45.91. So far this year, the stock has advanced more than 22%.
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Friday, September 5, 2014, 11:20 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Read Tech-Stock Prospector on Kindle |
Download the August 2014 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector to
your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
Order the latest issue of TSP for Kindle here.
Here are some of the topics covered in the August 2014
issue:
*7 Q2 earnings season winners positioned for a strong second
half
*Why IT security companies delivered big Q2 numbers
*LinkedIn launches
its expanded Sales Navigator service
*Facebook has advertising
revenue upside
*Twitter
fair-value price target update
*Positive fiscal 2015 catalysts at Apple
*Cloud Watch: Zendesk
is a new force in customer service
*Small-Cap Watch: Imperva
shows Q2 improvement
*Enterprise cloud deployments continue to gain traction
*ServiceNow
brings the cloud to operations management
*Qlik Technologies
starts its new product cycle in BI/analytics
*Tableau Software
is closing larger data visualization deals
*Yelp focuses on
local ad revenue growth
*Healthy demand for packet optical gear among telecom
service providers
*Web 2.0 datacenter build-outs providing a robust tailwind
*Why some smart money managers like Ciena shares now
*TripAdvisor
expands its travel search brand & mobile presence
*Electronic Arts
benefiting from continued shift to digital games
*Networking Watch: F5
Networks beats estimates and raises guidance
*Deal Report: Recent IPOs of TubeMogul & Arista
Networks
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Friday, September 5, 2014, 10:22 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
RBC Capital Upbeat on Apple |
RBC Capital says Apple (AAPL, $99.06) shares over the past five years (on average) have performed worse than the S&P 500 Index in the months of September and October.
However, the firm thinks Apple shares can work higher from here based on the variety of expected product introductions. RBC maintains its price target of $110.
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Friday, September 5, 2014, 9:31 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Evercore Bullish on Google |
Evercore adds Google (GOOGL, $595.28) to its ‘Conviction Buy’ list with a price target of $750 (up from $725) based on strong momentum in the core business and valuation.
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Thursday, September 4, 2014, 3:38 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Cisco Broadens UCS Portfolio |
Cisco Systems (CSCO, $24.87) today announces an expansion of its UCS server business, releasing new systems aimed at cloud-scale applications (M-Series) and small-scale & enterprise-edge environments (UCS Mini).
Cisco has about 36,500 UCS customers and has been adding about 1,000 new accounts per month. The UCS business is on an annual revenue run rate of $3 billion+.
Cantor Fitzgerald says Cisco’s UCS innovations announced today further strengthen the company’s datacenter portfolio. The firm maintains its price target of $31 based on new product cycles and valuation.
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Thursday, September 4, 2014, 11:14 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Chart Watch: Marketo |
Shares of Marketo (MKTO, $30.76), provider of a cloud-based marketing automation platform, today are on the advance, moving closer to the July high of $31.43 and the 200-day moving average at $31.95.
For more on Marketo, see TechStock Radar--August 27, 2014.
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Thursday, September 4, 2014, 10:07 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Barclays Upgrades IAC |
Barclays upgrades IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI, $73.38) to ‘Overweight’ with a price target of $87 based on an improved outlook for the company’s Tinder (dating) and Vimeo (video sharing) properties.
Over the longer term, the firm sees potential for strategic alternatives to unlock shareholder value.
We covered IAC’s growth outlook in the April 2014 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector (TSP #146).
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Thursday, September 4, 2014, 9:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
CRT Capital Stuck on TripAdvisor Valuation |
CRT Capital starts coverage of TripAdvisor (TRIP, $98.28) at ‘Fair Value’ with a price target of $110, calling the company the leading online destination worldwide for travel planning. The firm’s only concern is the high valuation.
CRT Capital says TripAdvisor’s large and engaged user base (there are currently 170 million reviews covering more than 4.2 million places to stay, eat and do things) creates strong network effects, which keeps people coming back.
For more on TripAdvisor’s increased mobile presence, see the August 2014 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector. Order the latest issue here for download to your Kindle or Kindle for iPad/iPhone reading app.
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Wednesday, September 3, 2014, 4:18 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Tibco Software Reviews its Strategic Options |
Tibco Software (TIBX, $21.04), a provider of enterprise infrastructure & BI solutions, after the close announced that its BoD in the middle of last month started a wide review of all of the strategic and financial alternatives open to the company.
Tibco is looking at standalone options as part of its focus on maximizing shareholder value.
On August 6, The WSJ reported that Tibco had approached potential buyers.
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Wednesday, September 3, 2014, 12:29 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Sellers Stall Splunk Rally |
Splunk (SPLK, $55.74) shares today are running into some profit taking, falling 7% on heavy volume. But that’s after jumping 19% on Friday and gaining 11% yesterday.
From the August 22 low of $40.90, Splunk shares advanced 47% to yesterday’s high of $60.16.
The initial rebound fell short of the 200-day moving average at $62.59.
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Wednesday, September 3, 2014, 10:08 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Pacific Crest Turns Cautious on Apple |
Apple (AAPL, $100.85) shares this morning are off 2.3% after Pacific Crest recommends taking profits ahead of the Sept. 9 event. The stock tends to rise into these new product unveilings and then sell off on the final reveal. Expectations are high going into next week’s event.
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Wednesday, September 3, 2014, 9:04 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Concur's Valuation Could Be M&A Stumbling Block |
UBS calls Concur Technologies (CNQR, $109.80 pre market, +8.7%) a highly desirable M&A target because of the company’s positioning as a leading player in cloud-based expense management solutions.
However, valuation may limit the upside potential. UBS maintains its price target of $124.
Using recent cloud-software buyout valuations as a guide, Nomura puts a value of $120 on Concur, but says this price is unlikely to be high enough to get a deal done.
There are reports that both Oracle and Microsoft have passed on Concur because the price tag is too high.
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Tuesday, September 2, 2014, 4:31 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Concur Surges on Takeover Speculation |
According to Bloomberg, Concur Technologies (CNQR, $114.47 after hours), a provider of cloud-based travel & expense management solutions, is in play, having hired a banker to try to find a buyer.
On the report, the stock is surging more than 13% in after-hours trading.
In the February 2014 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector
(TSP #144), we profiled Concur as one of the few publicly traded,
high-growth enterprise software companies on a direct path to $1 billion
in annual revenue.
For fiscal 2014 (Sept.), the consensus revenue estimate of $691.6 million indicates growth of 27.4%. The fiscal 2015 (Sept.) consensus revenue estimate is $858.5 million.
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Tuesday, September 2, 2014, 12:11 PM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Chart Watch: Qlik Tech |
Traders are keeping an eye on Qlik Technologies (QLIK, $28.41) shares because the 50-day moving average at $25.01 is on the rise and on track to soon cross above the 200-day moving average at $25.33. The 50-day MAV crossed below the 200-day MAV in December.
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Tuesday, September 2, 2014, 11:05 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Security Stocks Strong |
Shares of security-related names this morning are getting bid up, with FireEye (FEYE, $32.79) gaining more than 5% and Palo Alto Networks (PANW, $88.70) up 4.3%.
Hitting new 52-week highs: PANW and CHKP.
Fortinet (FTNT, $26.32) is trading close to a new 52-week high.
While not a security pure play, F5 Networks (FFIV, $125.42) has been gaining traction in this space; its shares have hit a new 52-week high.
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Tuesday, September 2, 2014, 10:02 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
BofA/Merrill Boosts LinkedIn Target |
BofA/Merrill raises its LinkedIn (LNKD, $226.98) price target to $250 from $225 based on the following positive catalysts for 2H’14: continued new product investments, international expansion, margin improvement.
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Tuesday, September 2, 2014, 9:03 AM — by Rob DeFrancesco, TechStock Radar |
Piper Jaffray Ups Apple Target to $120 |
Piper Jaffray raises its Apple (AAPL, $102.50) price target to $120 from $105 based on the upcoming launch of new products and services.
The firm expects Apple next week to debut two new iPhones (4.7” and 5.5”), a hard sapphire screen on the high-end 5.5” phone and NFC-based capabilities in both handsets.
The firm believes there is a 70% chance that Apple unveils a payments feature and sees a 50% chance of a new watch at this event. Piper Jaffray sees the iPhone as the driver behind Apple’s payments platform, not the upcoming iWatch.
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